The economy is doing well, gushing government revenues. This raises new demands. But the housekeeper of the Coalition warn expensive new projects. And Germany should be in reducing the budget deficit model in Europe.
Berlin - The housekeepers know the game. Little bubble and government revenue and social security, new desires are awakened. The ministers, the deputies themselves at both government and opposition.
Everyone wants to implement plans and projects. And as things are looking good. In the first half of 2012, federal, state, local government and social security measures, according to preliminary calculations, a € 8.3 billion more than they spent. The good news for German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble (CDU) has its negative side.
For the FDP politician budget in parliament, Otto Fricke, is already clear: "Many wishes edition will also come from our own ranks." This will prevent the householder in the face of seemingly positive recent data. Because they are at first sight so beautiful that some might hineinphantasieren into an output noise. But the impression that the money on the federal side only bubbles so - the gross domestic product (GDP) growth of 0.6 percent was achieved - sometimes deceptive refer primarily was winning the social insurance of 11.6 billion euros. This was offset by a deficit in the budgets of federal, state and local authorities of 3.3 billion euros.
Especially the good situation in the labor market brought the state more money. Such revenue rose from the personal income tax in the first half by 6.3 percent to 109.1 billion euros. From social contributions by 2.8 percent to 217.9 billion euros Government spending had risen in the same period with an increase of 0.8 percent only moderately, the Federal Statistical Office.
Householders warned
Because no one can predict whether the current revenue also continued during the year, as opposed to the householder too big jumps. The chief steward of the Union faction in the Bundestag, Norbert Barthle, said: "The news of the increased revenue may sound pleasing but this should not cause anything to pass on to the government.".
Barthle refers to several risks that Germany - and hence the federal budget - has to shoulder in the euro crisis:
Due to the decision at the last EU summit in Brussels capital from the European Investment Bank (EIB) to € 10 billion in Germany accounts for a contribution of around 2.7 billion euros.
If the ESM permanent bailout actually enter into force on the federal budget would add more costs. The German ESM total of 21.7 billion should be later this year, the first two installments of € 8.7 billion will be paid.
In addition, there are the uncertainties in the skyrocketing costs of major airport Berlin-Brandenburg. "It may well be that the federal government must help out there with hundreds of millions of euros," predicts the chief steward of the CDU / CSU.
Desires could also be raised again at the health insurance contributions. Because more employees are covered by social security in jobs, there's been a long time again to a plus. But the health insurance contributions will lower the coalition, the current pads are used up very quickly, "We should all the contribution rate, as it is now, let us stand and thus exposure to changes in the future prepare," said Barthle.
A test of the coalition is a major project from the house of the Federal Labour Minister Ursula von der Leyen. The CDU minister wants to introduce the pension contribution, with the long-standing workers according to specific criteria to receive a minimum pension. The project is controversial in the Union and the FDP. Von der Leyen has but - indirectly - linked their fate in the cabinet to the enforcement of this project. The cost, according to its Ministry: 2014, € 380 million in 2030, however, already 3.8 billion euros - ie a tenfold increase.
Closed meeting next week
DISPLAY
For Fricke is given the latest figures but the principle. "The biggest mistakes are always made in the budget in good times" The FDP has long been a desire pushes ahead of him: the abolition of the practice fee. With the cash you take per year around two billion euros. Quite possible that it falls when von der Leyen wants to enforce their pension contribution. About their project to be spoken in the fall in the coalition committee.
Next week will meet first the householder the black-yellow coalition for common exam. There will advise the other course, the budget of the Federal 2013. Here, except for the work and ministry of health, in all departments increases provided. The FDP politician Fricke guesses what triggered the recent data are warned, however: "We have no more money in the pot, but should continue to reduce our debt."
